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  • 张燕平.中国出口技术结构与经济增长的协整关系研究[J].国际商务研究,2017,(2):46-54    [点击复制]
  • Zhang Yan-ping.[cn_title][J].INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RESEARCH,2017,(2):46-54   [点击复制]
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中国出口技术结构与经济增长的协整关系研究
张燕平
0
摘要:
本文采用修正的出口复杂度指数测算包括中国在内的48 个国家(地区)的出口技术 结构,根据中国1992~2013 年的数据构建计量模型,实证分析出口技术结构和经济 增长的关系。主要结论有:中国出口复杂度有一定程度的提升,但仍然落后于大多 数发达国家,经济增长水平的散点分析也符合中国经济发展水平,因此中国并不存 在“Rodrik 悖论”;通过协整分析表明出口技术结构的提升是经济增长的动力之一, 但反之并不成立。对此本文提出政策建议以推动出口技术结构的升级优化。
关键词:  出口技术结构  经济增长  协整关系
DOI:
基金项目:
Co-integration Study between Export Technological Structure and Economic Growth in China
Zhang Yan-ping
Abstract:
This paper measures the export technological structure of 48 countries and regions with adjusted export sophistication index. It analyzes the relation between export technological structure and economic growth based on econometric model of China’s data during 1992~2013. The main conclusions are the following: (1) China’s export sophistication has a certain degree of improvement, but still lags behind those of most developed countries. The economic growth level of scattered point analysis also conforms to China’s economic development level, so China does not feature “Rodrik paradox”; (2) the co-integration analysis shows that export technological structure of ascension is one of the engines of economic growth, but otherwise it is not established. This article puts forward policy suggestions for China to promote the upgrading of export technological structure and maintain a strong momentum of economic growth.
Key words:  export technological structure  economic growth  co-integration analysis

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