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  • 姜文学,王妍.“一带一路”电子产品贸易格局演变特征及影响因素研究——基于复杂网络分析方法[J].国际商务研究,2020,(5):26-40    [点击复制]
  • JIANG Wenxue,WANG Yan.[cn_title][J].INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RESEARCH,2020,(5):26-40   [点击复制]
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“一带一路”电子产品贸易格局演变特征及影响因素研究——基于复杂网络分析方法
姜文学,王妍
0
东北财经大学国际经济贸易学院,辽宁 大连 116025
摘要:
2002~2016年“一带一路”电子产品贸易的网络密度和互惠性都比较高,并且在不断地小幅增长;相对入度核密度分布曲线呈“近似正态”分布,波峰在 25~35之间,而相对出度核密度由“单波峰”分布向“双波峰”分布过渡,高出度节点国家逐渐出现;中国、韩国和新加坡等亚太国家掌握着网络中主要的贸易流量;核心—边缘结构较为稳定,但核心国家的数量在逐渐减少。同时,人均收入水平差异、人口数量差异、有共同边界和共同语言会增加电子产品贸易,而通货膨胀率差异和地理距离会减少电子产品贸易。
关键词:  “一带一路”  电子产品贸易  复杂网络  影响因素  QAP回归
DOI:
基金项目:
Research on Structural Change Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Electronic Products Trade Network along the Belt and Road: Based on Complex Network Analysis Method
JIANG Wenxue,WANG Yan
Abstract:
In terms of the electronic products trade along the Belt and Road in 2002~2016, the density and reciprocity of the trade network are relatively high. At the same time, both of them have sustained a small growth; the kernel density estimation curve of relative in-degree shows itself in approximately normal distribution and the peak is between 25 and 35, and relative out-degree’s takes on the distribution from“single peak”to“double peaks”and the countries whose out-degree is high are gradually emerging. Asia-Pacific countries such as China, South Korea and Singapore hold the main trade flows in the network. The core-periphery structure is relatively stable, but the number of core countries is gradually declining. At the same time, differences in per capita income levels, demographic differences, common border and common language have a positive effect on electronic product trade. Differences in inflation rates and geographical distances have a negative effect.
Key words:  the Belt and Road  electronic product trade  complex network  influencing factors  QAP regression

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