美国经济政策不确定性与中企 OFDI区位选择
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(1.上海对外经贸大学国际经贸学院,上海 201620;2.上海空间电源研究所,上海 200245;3.复旦大学经济学院,上海 200433)

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汪建新,上海对外经贸大学国际经贸学院教授,博士,研究方向:国际贸易与金融、国际商务、新开放宏观经济学;李娉(通讯作者),上海空间电源研究所,硕士,研究方向:国际贸易与金融;杨晨,复旦大学经济学院博士研究生,研究方向:国际贸易与金融。

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F752

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Economic Policy Uncertainty of the U.S. and the Location Choice of OFDI for Chinese Enterprises
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    摘要:

    美国经济政策不确定性是否会影响中国企业海外投资的区位选择?其机制是怎样的?本文运用中国工业企业数据库与商务部企业名录等进行匹配,使用 Baker等(2016)构建的美国经济政策不确定性指数研究发现:美国经济政策不确定性对中企在美国投资存在抑制作用,并且对中企在其他地区投资存在阻遏作用,即存在“第三地阻遏效应”;在对微观层级的企业运营经验和市场势力两个影响机制检验之后发现,美国经济政策不确定性对企业对外投资的负向影响在运营经验较强的企业中更明显,而在市场势力较强的企业中影响更小。本文的研究为政府制定相应的政策提供了理论依据。

    Abstract:

    As global economic policy uncertainty continues to rise and Chinese companies keep going global, it is of more practical significance to explore the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the location choice of Chinese enterprises’overseas investment. This article uses the industrial and enterprise database to match the Ministry of Commerce’s business directory and other databases,and uses economic policy uncertainty index constructed by Baker et al.(2016) to measure the economic policy uncertainty of America. The study finds that: first, the U.S. economic policy uncertainty has a deterrent effect on Chinese companies’choice of foreign investment locations: One is that enterprises have a depressing effect on the U.S. investment. The other is that it has a negative effect on Chinese companies’investment in other regions, that is, there is a“third place hindering effect”. Second, we examine the influence mechanism of the company’s operating experience and market power from the perspective of the company’s microcosm. Research shows that the negative influence of the U.S. economic policy uncertainty on foreign investment is more obvious among the enterprises with more operation experience, while the influence of the enterprises with stronger market power is less. The research of this paper provides a theoretical basis for the government to formulate corresponding policies.

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汪建新,李娉,杨晨.美国经济政策不确定性与中企 OFDI区位选择[J].国际商务研究,2021,(5):44-56

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-09-16
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